← All markets
LIVEForeign PolicyChinaPolitics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabite…

24h volume $101.6Kends in 208d 23h
Bid 6.2¢Mid 6.3¢Ask 6.3¢
spread 10 bps
BidSize
AskSize

Market details

Ends
Dec 31, 2026 (ends in 208d 23h)
Volume (24h)
$101.6K
Volume (total)
$32.0M
Liquidity
$962.3K
Builder fees
10/10 bps maker/taker
Condition ID
0xd9fb1184af0064e5e34b129f5b79afa5a17b7e32f2953ab05efed82315fee6d4
Yes token
94559586571241563470235664821564670251180951772614764383113614156422396181162
No token
90772332434487149264114862115632028379978765245278600275169585501290867536237