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Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specif…

24h volume $11.8Kends in 169d 4h
Bid 5.9¢Mid 5.9¢Ask 6.0¢
spread 10 bps
BidSize
AskSize

Market details

Ends
Jan 1, 2027 (ends in 169d 4h)
Volume (24h)
$11.8K
Volume (total)
$4.4M
Liquidity
$115.8K
Builder fees
10/10 bps maker/taker
Condition ID
0x3b0107a80edd066fe987784d7ab5963c177888433efbec10689951c17320606c
Yes token
112007327373263623178671509828927834172092799802464528122988153704237637965568
No token
69471008782374192790909758203453762302247599306255707151301915677252063291760