← All markets
LIVEMilitary StrikesPoliticsGeopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be conside…

24h volume $481.4Kends in 162d 12h
Bid 26.0¢Mid 26.5¢Ask 27.0¢
spread 100 bps
BidSize
AskSize

Market details

Ends
Dec 31, 2026 (ends in 162d 12h)
Volume (24h)
$481.4K
Volume (total)
$45.9M
Liquidity
$607.3K
Builder fees
10/10 bps maker/taker
Condition ID
0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Yes token
55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123
No token
1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241