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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be conside…

24h volume $66.7Kends in 208d 23h
Bid 16.0¢Mid 16.5¢Ask 17.0¢
spread 100 bps
BidSize
AskSize

Market details

Ends
Dec 31, 2026 (ends in 208d 23h)
Volume (24h)
$66.7K
Volume (total)
$33.8M
Liquidity
$564.8K
Builder fees
10/10 bps maker/taker
Condition ID
0x5db999fad322cea2914535aae5517060c3f80ad6d8c0231cde2124a434d16846
Yes token
55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123
No token
1910830010387565971650098373488592514702818137344973088263643820608151819241